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UK GDP Monthly Estimate Published Today

UK GDP Monthly Estimate Published Today

Today (16 October 2025) at 07:00 am BST, the Office for National Statistics released the monthly GDP estimate for the UK for August 2025. According to these figures, GDP m/m for August has reached 0.1 %.

In the detailed breakdown, the services sector held steady — it showed no change compared with July, reflecting a pause in momentum in many of its constituent industries. Meanwhile, construction delivered moderate support, while output in the production (manufacturing and industrial) sector declined. The data further reveal that in the three-month period ending August, GDP growth stood at 1.5 % compared with the same three months a year earlier.

This release comes amid revisions: July’s previously flat reading has been re-estimated as a 0.1 % contraction, which tempers the headline increase in monthly GDP.  Analysts will now scrutinize whether this upward move in August reflects genuine underlying recovery or a short-term bounce after a weak July.

The timing of this announcement—first thing this morning—is significant, as it sets the tone for how markets, policymakers, and investors will interpret the near-term health of the British economy. With the data now in the public domain, attention will shift to how this will influence expectations around interest rates, fiscal policy, and investor sentiment.

Beyond the headline, the report highlights that of the 14 service subsectors, seven showed expansion in the latest period, while others such as wholesale & retail trade and transport & storage exerted downward pressure.  In particular, the rental and leasing subsector stood out with continued robust activity—continuing its streak of growth.

Overall, this morning’s release provides a fresh data point: GDP has now been measured at 0.1 % for August, indicating modest monthly expansion, with a mixed sectoral picture and some downward revision to prior estimates.

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