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Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate Released on June 3, 2025

Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate Released on June 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, released the flash estimate for the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year data at 12:00 EEST, offering a critical snapshot of inflation trends across the 20-nation bloc. The latest figures show the CPI arrived at 1.9% for the year, slightly below the market’s anticipated 2.0%, compared to the previous reading of 2.2%. The core CPI, which excludes volatile components like energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, reached 2.3%, missing the forecast of 2.4% and down from the prior 2.7%. These numbers, announced today, provide essential insights for investors and policymakers tracking price stability in the Eurozone.

The CPI data reflects the cost changes of a typical basket of goods and services consumed by households, serving as a key indicator of inflationary pressures. The 1.9% headline CPI suggests a cooling in price growth, driven partly by a decline in energy prices, which reached -3.5% year-on-year. Services, however, remained the largest contributor to inflation, recording a 3.9% annual rate, followed by food, alcohol, and tobacco at 3.0%. Non-energy industrial goods held steady at 0.6%. The release, shared promptly across financial news platforms, highlights a trend of moderating inflation, potentially influencing the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy outlook.

Today’s announcement has drawn significant attention, as markets gauge the ECB’s next steps amid global economic uncertainties. Analysts note that the lower-than-expected CPI could signal room for further monetary easing, with a 25-basis-point rate cut now priced at a 60% probability for the ECB’s upcoming meeting. The data also underscores the Eurozone’s resilience against external pressures, such as supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Investors are closely monitoring how these figures might affect the euro’s value, with early reactions showing cautious optimism. The June 3 release marks a pivotal moment for understanding the Eurozone’s economic trajectory, with further details expected in the full report on June 19, 2025.

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