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Canada Releases April 2025 CPI Data in May

Canada Releases April 2025 CPI Data in May

On May 20, 2025, Statistics Canada unveiled the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, providing fresh insights into the nation’s inflation trends. The announcement, made at 8:30 AM EEST, revealed that the month-over-month CPI reached -0.1%, compared to 0.3% in March. This marks a notable shift in consumer price movements, reflecting a slight easing in price pressures across various sectors. The year-over-year CPI, meanwhile, settled at 1.7%, down from 2.3% in the previous month, aligning with market expectations of a slowdown in inflationary pressures.

The Bank of Canada’s core inflation measures, which exclude volatile components like food and energy, painted a more nuanced picture. The CPI Core-Median reached 3.2% year-over-year, while the CPI Core-Trim hit 3.1%. The Bank of Canada’s preferred core inflation measure recorded a month-over-month figure of 0.5%, up from 0.1% in March, signaling some persistent underlying price pressures. Key contributors to the monthly CPI shift included a significant drop in gasoline prices, which fell to -10% nationally, driven by lower crude oil prices and the removal of the consumer carbon tax in April. Natural gas prices also declined sharply, reaching -27% month-over-month.

Shelter costs, a major component of the CPI basket, remained a focal point, with primary shelter prices reaching a 0.4% month-over-month increase, contributing significantly to the overall index. Food prices saw a modest decline, with grocery store prices reaching -0.4% month-over-month, offering some relief to consumers. The report also highlighted the impact of recent trade policies, with minimal tariff-related price pressures observed so far, though analysts warn that upcoming months may reflect tariff effects as global trade dynamics evolve.

Financial markets reacted with cautious optimism, with the Canadian dollar experiencing slight fluctuations against major currencies. Economists suggest that the Bank of Canada, which meets next on May 21, 2025, will closely scrutinize these figures to assess the balance between inflation control and economic growth. The data underscores Canada’s ongoing efforts to navigate global economic challenges, including trade uncertainties and domestic cost-of-living concerns. The next CPI release is scheduled for June 17, 2025, and will provide further clarity on inflation trends.

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